Bitcoin Cycles Update - 18th February 2026 | ~ 80 Day Cycle | Last Trade: + 25.49%
Last trade: + 25.49% | 'A' class signal detected in Bitcoin (BTC/USD). Running at an average wavelength of 84 days over 17 iterations since June 2022. Currently troughing
ΣL Cycle Summary
Those who followed the time prediction from the January update will be well satisfied — the crunchpoint flagged for mid to late February has arrived precisely on cue, with the 80 day cycle now in its trough phase and Bitcoin having shed a substantial ~25% from the peak near $90,000. The confluence of the 80 day and the larger 280 day cycle exerting their combined downside influence has played out much as anticipated, and the short trade closed out with an excellent result.
The trough is now upon us, with the frequency modulation running at +/- 5 days from the current position — a relatively tight window that lends reasonable confidence to the timing. With 17 completed iterations since June 2022 at an average wavelength of 83 days, this remains one of the more dependable cyclical features in the cryptocurrency space, and the upgraded ‘A’ class signal classification reflects that robustness. The cumulative component yield over the sample period stands at an impressive 387.71%, a testament to the consistency of this feature over time.
Looking ahead, the next peak range is projected between the 30th March and 8th April 2026, with the central time target falling around the 3rd of April. Bulls will note that this gives a window of approximately six weeks for the up leg to develop — and with the powerful 280 day cycle now set to shift from headwind to tailwind, the conditions for a more meaningful advance are considerably more favourable than they were entering the January trough.
Charts below show a variety of phasings over and above the ~ 80 day feature. Included are some screenshots of our new MT5 EA, due to be released soon. For the latest update on that please take a look at the article here.
Trade Update
Summary of the most recent trade enacted with this signal and according to the time prediction detailed in the previous report for this instrument, linked below.
Type: Sell - Bitcoin 10th January 2026
Entry: 10th January 2026 @ 90385.54
Exit: 18th February 2026 @ 67349.26
Gain: 25.49%