New! Bitcoin Cycles Update for the 80 day and a look at the 280 day
Last trade: - 1.58% | 'B' class signal detected in Bitcoin (BTC/USD). Running at an average wavelength of 84 days over 16 iterations since June 2022. Currently peaking
ΣL Cycle Summary
Happy new year to all!
In this much anticipated update we take a look, once again, at one of the few markets providing cyclical dominance at the moment, the ubiquitous 80 day cycle in Bitcoin and the wider spectra going forwards.
The up leg from late November was a damp squib of a move, suggesting the now more apparent ~ 280 day cycle (shown below) is still exerting downside influence. This much larger wave is considerably more powerful than the 80 day feature, such is the nature of power distribution in financial markets. Over the course of the last few years it has featured a rather wide and therefore unpredictable, practically speaking, modulation. For that reason it has not featured on Sigma-L before although I have mentioned it briefly on X. That modulation has diminished somewhat recently and even more so when the addition of other liquid cryptocurrencies is analysed in a composite, also shown below.
The crunchpoint appears to be ahead of us in mid - late February with troughs of the 80 day and 280 day broadly aligning in phase. That said, the modulation is still quite wide in the larger feature so it may well be a case of sideways until then, which is even better for bulls. The 30 day carries on regardless, making excellent undulations at the lower resolution and is easily discerned by our time frequency method, see below. Useful for traders with a shorter time horizon I have no doubt.
In summary, not long to wait for the more bullish crypto enthusiasts with the powerful 280 day cycle set to provide an excellent guide in 2026. Alongside that the 80 day looks to be maintaining it’s power, providing even more granularity to the swings.
Trade Update
Summary of the most recent trade enacted with this signal and according to the time prediction detailed in the previous report for this instrument, linked below.
Type: Early Buy - Bitcoin 17th November 2025
Entry: 17th November 2025 @ 92100.60
Exit: 10th December 2025 @ 90646.30
Gain: - 1.58%