11 Comments

I cannot recall off hand all the specifics of the cycle in your tweet, but perhaps you expected trough around Oct 31 ( we got it) then peak mid- Nov, down into very early Dec before rising into another peak around Dec 13. Or this is not what you are expecting...

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Nov 3, 2023·edited Nov 3, 2023Author

I think its possibly this one where i was replying to someone on gain per frequency. I mentioned the next smaller wave. However, this report (on sigma-l) is concerned with the wave around 75 days, as the title suggests.

https://x.com/tradinghurst/status/1719278443345416530?s=61&t=cD4XSdDL6Ho7ghHFOtw88g

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Just looking at your responses. Yes, you found it.

And yes, this smaller wave notes trough Nov 1 with peak Nov 19 then trough into Dec. So this is how you expect it to play out? I ask because the 75 day one you posted for subscribers notes peak around Dec 10 ( if I recall correctly) so I just want to clarify if the spx is basically expected to peak around Nov 19, roughly, then trough in Dec as per the shorter wave you posted on twitter. Thanks for clarifying.

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Possibly, although I generally do not report on Sigma-l for waves smaller than the 80 day nominal wave, which is what this report refers to...Essentially, the signal has to be *good* (FM/AM stationary, amongst other criteria) to get on the site. On twitter it's a different story, I can be less discerning.

In short, ignore the smaller wave.

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Nov 4, 2023·edited Nov 4, 2023Author

Oh and yes, to be overtly clear, this component (on this report!) running at an average of 76.59 days wavelength is due a *cycle* peak on the 10th December with FM equal to 9 days either side.

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Thanks for the clarification.

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Probably yes, I was likely looking at the next smaller wave. I will try to find it…

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Hi David, on twitter a some days back you posted a cycle of the spx showing trough around where you called a long entry here ( Oct 31) - good job-but the cycle you posted on twitter shows a peak in mid November and then down into early December. I can find your tweet if you like as i am confused by this call to go long with expected peak in December while the twitter post had peak mid- November (then down into early Dec). Can you please clarify whether you expect a peak mid- November and then down (trough) into early December?

I don't have time to read most tweets but did catch that one and was confused by it given what you posted here to subscribers.Thanks.

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I can’t really comment unless I know which tweet, can you post it? It sounds like it may be a smaller wavelength component because this wave has been stationary for months, if not years…

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founding
Oct 31, 2023Liked by David F

amazing work

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Most kind, Dan! Just doing my thing. :)

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