Sigma-L - Market Cycles

Sigma-L - Market Cycles

Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin Cycles Update - 17th November 2025 | ~ 80 Day Cycle | Last Trade: + 12.63%

Last trade: + 12.63% | 'B' class signal detected in Bitcoin (BTC/USD). Running at an average wavelength of 84 days over 15 iterations since June 2022. Currently late down / troughing

David F's avatar
David F
Nov 17, 2025
∙ Paid

ΣL Cycle Summary

Much gnashing of teeth and surprised sentiment has been doing the rounds on X recently in the crypto space, many caught unaware by the powerful nature of the 80 day cycle in this recent downturn.

So, we return to this feature, slightly early, to update the phase and look to the next stage. The other cycle of interest in Bitcoin below 100 days is the ~ 30 day cycle, which is currently troughing. This is the reason, mainly, for the earlier update in the 80 day cycle phase as we may see yet another battle here between these two.

The two main cyclic components are out of phase and have been for many months, producing consolidations prior to syncing and exploding in the prevailing direction. This was seen recently in the mid phase of the bearish 80 day leg and entire bearish leg of the 30 day. Whilst the cycle low of the 80 day feature (currently late down) is due toward the back end of November/early December, there may be enough power in the 30 day to produce sideways price action prior to the larger degree low. Charts below display both components in detail.

Trade Update

Summary of the most recent trade enacted with this signal and according to the time prediction detailed in the previous report for this instrument, linked below.

Type: Sell - Bitcoin 22nd October 2025
Entry: 22nd October 2025 @ 107585.98
Exit: 17th November 2025 @ 94002.67
Gain: 12.63%

Time Frequency Analysis

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