Sigma-L - Market Cycles

Sigma-L - Market Cycles

Share this post

Sigma-L - Market Cycles
Sigma-L - Market Cycles
WisdomTree ZINC - 12th January 2024 | @ 80 Days | - 0.61%
Copy link
Facebook
Email
Notes
More
Metals

WisdomTree ZINC - 12th January 2024 | @ 80 Days | - 0.61%

Last trade: - 0.61% | 'C' class signal detected in WisdomTree ZINC. Running at an average wavelength of 80 days over 12 iterations since June 2021. Currently troughing.

David F's avatar
David F
Jan 12, 2024
∙ Paid
1

Share this post

Sigma-L - Market Cycles
Sigma-L - Market Cycles
WisdomTree ZINC - 12th January 2024 | @ 80 Days | - 0.61%
Copy link
Facebook
Email
Notes
More
1
Share

Instrument Summary

WisdomTree Zinc is a fully collateralised Exchange-Traded Commodity (ETC) within UCITS eligibility, crafted to offer investors comprehensive exposure to Zinc futures contracts' total returns. The ETC's objective is to mirror the Bloomberg Zinc Sub Total Return Index (BCOMZSTR) by tracing the Bloomberg Zinc Sub Excess Return Index. It factors in interest revenue while accounting for associated fees and costs.


ΣL Cycle Summary

Although largely excellent in terms of frequency stationarity, this wave in our Zinc proxy has lost a good deal of amplitude over the last few iterations, making the phase estimation somewhat harder. We have downgraded it to a ‘C’ category for this reason although it is still a very good looking signal within the time frequency sample shown below. There is a larger wave around 160 days acting on price too, likely a harmonic of this shorter wave and which is peaking at the time of writing. The next trough of this longer component is expected toward the end of March/early April, in line with the next low of the shorter component. Subscribers may wish to wait for that or a short into it near the start of March.


Trade Update

See also: Live ΣL Portfolio & History

Summary of the most recent trade enacted with this signal and according to the time prediction detailed in the previous post for this instrument, linked below.

Type: Late Sell - WisdomTree Zinc 14th December 2023
Entry: 14th December 2023 @ 8.23
Exit: 12th January 2024 @ 8.28
Gain: - 0.61%


Current Signal Status

Defining characteristics of the component detected over the sample period.

Detected Signal Class: C - learn more
Average Wavelength: 79.99 Days
Completed Iterations: 12
Component Yield Over Sample: 150.10% - learn more

Time Frequency Analysis

This post is for paid subscribers

Already a paid subscriber? Sign in
© 2025 Sigma-L
Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start writingGet the app
Substack is the home for great culture

Share

Copy link
Facebook
Email
Notes
More