Gold Cycles (Long Term) - 1st September 2025 | ~ 500 Day Cycle (Peaking)
'B' class cycle signal detected in XAUUSD. Running at an average wavelength of 501 days over 10 iterations since April 2013. Currently peaking.
ΣL Cycle Summary
In this sample of Gold (XAUUSD) over the last 12 years we reveal a periodic feature that has been present throughout, exhibiting excellent spectral spacing within a bandwidth spanning ~ 1000 to 100 days. Sporting a wavelength around 500 days (or 16 months) this feature has maintained it’s power even through the tremendous and linear uptrend since early 2024. The phase is currently peaking with the next trough due late 2026. Indeed this feature is also clearly present in PHYS and GDX (shown below via composite), something that may be obvious but is not always the case at the shorter wavelengths.
The highpass filtered series below also reveals the spectacular amplitude increase passed through to the cycle around 500 days from underlying trend. A breach of the red standard deviation line is a high probability reversal signal and indicative of a peak for this wave.